Preseason Rankings
Western Illinois
Summit League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#283
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.2#190
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#277
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#271
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 8.8% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 22.8% 52.3% 21.9%
.500 or above in Conference 32.2% 53.1% 31.5%
Conference Champion 3.9% 10.4% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 25.2% 10.6% 25.7%
First Four1.4% 1.2% 1.4%
First Round3.2% 8.4% 3.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 2.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 47 - 610 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 47   @ Indiana L 59-79 3%    
  Nov 09, 2019 336   Stetson W 78-70 78%    
  Nov 13, 2019 258   Tennessee Martin W 75-74 56%    
  Nov 20, 2019 147   Northern Illinois L 68-73 33%    
  Nov 26, 2019 120   @ Ball St. L 66-79 12%    
  Nov 30, 2019 234   @ UMKC L 67-73 30%    
  Dec 04, 2019 182   @ Evansville L 68-76 24%    
  Dec 16, 2019 255   Eastern Illinois W 72-71 54%    
  Dec 29, 2019 165   South Dakota L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 02, 2020 153   @ North Dakota St. L 65-76 18%    
  Jan 04, 2020 224   @ South Dakota St. L 73-79 29%    
  Jan 08, 2020 241   Purdue Fort Wayne W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 11, 2020 305   Denver W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 16, 2020 205   Oral Roberts L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 23, 2020 195   @ Nebraska Omaha L 70-78 26%    
  Jan 25, 2020 262   @ North Dakota L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 30, 2020 153   North Dakota St. L 68-73 35%    
  Feb 01, 2020 224   South Dakota St. L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 05, 2020 241   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-80 33%    
  Feb 12, 2020 165   @ South Dakota L 65-75 21%    
  Feb 15, 2020 262   North Dakota W 74-72 55%    
  Feb 22, 2020 195   Nebraska Omaha L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 27, 2020 205   @ Oral Roberts L 70-77 28%    
  Feb 29, 2020 305   @ Denver L 71-73 45%    
Projected Record 9 - 15 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.1 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.7 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 4.6 4.3 0.9 0.1 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.4 5.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 6.0 5.1 1.1 0.0 14.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 4.0 6.5 4.5 1.0 0.0 17.0 8th
9th 0.9 3.3 5.2 4.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 17.2 9th
Total 0.9 3.4 6.1 9.1 11.4 12.5 12.8 11.7 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 96.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1
13-3 84.8% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
12-4 49.1% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 19.7% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-6 3.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 51.7% 51.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 31.7% 31.7% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.1% 23.7% 23.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-4 2.4% 21.1% 21.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.9
11-5 4.0% 13.9% 13.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 3.4
10-6 6.0% 9.6% 9.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 5.4
9-7 8.0% 7.2% 7.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 7.4
8-8 10.0% 4.9% 4.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.5
7-9 11.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.4
6-10 12.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.6
5-11 12.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.4
4-12 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.4
3-13 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.1
2-14 6.1% 6.1
1-15 3.4% 3.4
0-16 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%